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Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00

Brighton

vs

Aston Villa

12.7235.2%
X3.7725.4%
22.4339.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DWDWDWDWLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Aston Villa
DWLDWWWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

2.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%32.3%-2.9 pp
Draw25.4%29.0%+3.6 pp
Away39.4%38.7%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS74.2%

Historical average

1.68–1.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-29.7%
3-19.7%
2-16.5%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.45–5.03
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.548.4%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away92.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamBrightonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAston VillaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareBrighton vs Aston VillaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.