Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:30
11.0987.9%
X11.518.3%
225.333.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
DWWWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Wolves
LLWDWWLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
2.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
1.80
Against
7.10
11.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.30goals per match
Wolves conceded1.70
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
1.80
Corners against
7.10
11.00
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.70
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
17.80
Match total
23.20

Shots

22.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.90
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.9%95.2%+7.3 pp
Draw8.3%4.8%-3.6 pp
Away3.8%0.0%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.2%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

3.430.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.3%
3-014.3%
4-014.3%
5-014.3%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.902.67
Average total11.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.547.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.9%68.5%–98.7% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.9%
Away28.6%