Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
14.6820.5%
X4.2522.6%
21.6956.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sheffield United
LWLDLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LDWLDLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
3.20
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.90
2.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Against
7.40
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
3.20
Goals conceded
2.20
4.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.10goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.20Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.10goals per matchSheffield United conceded3.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
1.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
7.40
11.10
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.80
Match total
23.80
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%23.8%+3.2 pp
Draw22.6%20.8%-1.8 pp
Away56.9%55.4%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.21–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.9%
1-111.9%
0-28.9%
0-18.9%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.06–5.71
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away72.7%