Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
12.1245.2%
X3.8025.2%
23.2529.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WLLWLLDDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
LLLLDWLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.60N=10
6.30
Against
4.80
11.80
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.40
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.50goals per match
Fulham conceded2.20
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.40goals per match
Brentford conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.80
11.80
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.40
Match total
18.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.40
On target
5.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%41.5%-3.7 pp
Draw25.2%25.4%+0.2 pp
Away29.5%33.1%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.631.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-28.5%
0-08.5%
2-18.5%
1-07.6%
1-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.39
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away32.1%