Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
12.1245.2%
X3.8025.2%
23.2529.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
WLLWLLDDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fulham
LLLLDWLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
6.60N=10
6.30
Against
4.80
11.80
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.40
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.50goals per matchFulham conceded2.20Matchup
Fulham attack
1.40goals per matchBrentford conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.80
11.80
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.40
Match total
18.40
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.40
On target
5.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%41.5%-3.7 pp
Draw25.2%25.4%+0.2 pp
Away29.5%33.1%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS58.5%
Historical average
1.63–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-28.5%
0-08.5%
2-18.5%
1-07.6%
1-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.39
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away32.1%