Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 12:30
11.2079.9%
X7.5912.6%
212.747.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Bournemouth
WWLDLDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
2.80
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.50goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
12.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
20.00
Match total
23.20

Shots

20.40N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
6.80
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%79.4%-0.5 pp
Draw12.6%14.3%+1.7 pp
Away7.5%6.3%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

2.540.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.5%
4-012.7%
2-111.1%
3-09.5%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.713.13
Average total10.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.6%
Over 9.563.5%
Over 10.554.0%
Over 11.541.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%