Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 20:00
12.6636.3%
X3.5826.9%
22.6236.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LWLWLLLDWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Everton
WLLDLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
7.60
11.90
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Everton conceded1.90
Matchup

Everton attack

0.60goals per match
Luton conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.60
11.90
Match total
12.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%37.3%+1.0 pp
Draw26.9%28.0%+1.1 pp
Away36.8%34.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

1.401.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
2-19.0%
1-29.0%
1-08.5%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.97
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.7%–48.1% CI
Draw FT33.7%25.3%–43.2% CI
Away FT27.9%20.2%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.7%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away51.0%