Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-02 · 19:30
12.2043.5%
X4.0523.6%
22.9132.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWWWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Tottenham
LDWLDDWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.40
Against
8.60
10.70
Total
14.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
4.70
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.90goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
8.60
10.70
Match total
14.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.10
Match total
24.10

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.40
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%64.7%+21.2 pp
Draw23.6%11.8%-11.9 pp
Away32.9%23.5%-9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.881.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.6%
2-011.8%
3-111.8%
1-111.8%
0-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.714.41
Average total11.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT23.7%13.0%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away39.5%