Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-02 · 19:30
12.2043.5%
X4.0523.6%
22.9132.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
DWWWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Tottenham
LDWLDDWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.40
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.40
Against
8.60
10.70
Total
14.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
4.70
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
2.90goals per matchTottenham conceded2.10Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.70goals per matchChelsea conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
8.60
10.70
Match total
14.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.10
Match total
24.10
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.40
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%64.7%+21.2 pp
Draw23.6%11.8%-11.9 pp
Away32.9%23.5%-9.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
1.88–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.6%
2-011.8%
3-111.8%
1-111.8%
0-15.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.71–4.41
Average total11.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT23.7%13.0%–39.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away39.5%