Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 16:30
19.5010.1%
X5.7216.8%
21.3173.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LLWLLWLDWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
DLWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.50
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.00
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Matchup

Man City attack

2.50goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
7.20N=10
21.20
Match total
17.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
4.20
On target
7.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.1%12.7%+2.7 pp
Draw16.8%11.8%-5.0 pp
Away73.2%75.5%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS39.2%

Historical average

0.712.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.7%
1-212.7%
0-111.8%
0-310.8%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

2.876.91
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Draw FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Away FT60.7%42.4%–76.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away67.9%