Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
14.1223.2%
X4.0723.5%
21.8053.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
LWWWWWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Arsenal
LDLWWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
2.60
1.30
Conceded
0.50
100%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.50
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.30
Against
3.60
12.10
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.50
3.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
2.40goals per matchArsenal conceded0.50Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.60goals per matchTottenham conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.60
12.10
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.80
Match total
22.90
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
6.30
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%12.5%-10.7 pp
Draw23.5%17.5%-6.0 pp
Away53.2%70.0%+16.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS57.5%
Historical average
0.97–2.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.0%
0-212.5%
2-212.5%
1-212.5%
1-37.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–5.47
Average total10.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away57.1%