Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
14.1223.2%
X4.0723.5%
21.8053.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LWWWWWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Arsenal
LDLWWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.60
1.30
Conceded
0.50
100%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.50
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.30
Against
3.60
12.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.50
3.70
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.50
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.60
12.10
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
6.30
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%12.5%-10.7 pp
Draw23.5%17.5%-6.0 pp
Away53.2%70.0%+16.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

0.972.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.0%
0-212.5%
2-212.5%
1-212.5%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.47
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away57.1%