Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
12.2642.3%
X3.8025.2%
22.9432.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DWLDLDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
LDDLLWLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
13.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.50
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
13.00
Match total
9.30
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.90
Match total
21.40

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%26.7%-15.6 pp
Draw25.2%37.8%+12.6 pp
Away32.5%35.6%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.548.9%
BTTS75.6%

Historical average

1.621.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-211.1%
2-28.9%
0-08.9%
3-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.604.33
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%