Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 17:30
12.3640.5%
X3.5027.3%
22.9732.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WWLDDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brentford
LLLWLLLLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.50goals per matchBrentford conceded2.00Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchEverton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.90
Match total
22.90
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches542
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%41.3%+0.8 pp
Draw27.3%30.1%+2.8 pp
Away32.2%28.6%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS59.4%
Historical average
1.52–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
2-110.1%
1-28.9%
2-28.1%
2-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–4.68
Average total10.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=541.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%29.8%–45.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.0%–48.8% CI
Away FT22.1%16.1%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away46.9%