Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 17:30
12.3640.5%
X3.5027.3%
22.9732.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WWLDDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brentford
LLLWLLLLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.50goals per match
Brentford conceded2.00
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Everton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.90
Match total
22.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches542
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%41.3%+0.8 pp
Draw27.3%30.1%+2.8 pp
Away32.2%28.6%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

1.521.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
2-110.1%
1-28.9%
2-28.1%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.68
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=541.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%29.8%–45.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.0%–48.8% CI
Away FT22.1%16.1%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away46.9%