Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.9848.3%
X3.8325.0%
23.5826.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wolves
DWWLLWWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Luton
LWDDLDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
7.60
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.80
2.70
Total goals
4.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wolves attack
1.30goals per matchLuton conceded2.80Matchup
Luton attack
1.60goals per matchWolves conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
2.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.60
9.90
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
20.50
Match total
24.20
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.70
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%47.0%-1.3 pp
Draw25.0%28.0%+3.0 pp
Away26.7%25.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.62–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-010.6%
2-08.9%
2-18.5%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–4.44
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=236.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.3%36.3%–58.5% CI
Draw FT36.5%26.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT16.2%9.5%–26.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.9%
Away39.2%