Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.9848.3%
X3.8325.0%
23.5826.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
DWWLLWWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Luton
LWDDLDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
7.60
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.80
2.70
Total goals
4.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded2.80
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Wolves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
2.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.60
9.90
Match total
11.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
20.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.70
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%47.0%-1.3 pp
Draw25.0%28.0%+3.0 pp
Away26.7%25.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.621.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-010.6%
2-08.9%
2-18.5%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.44
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=236.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.3%36.3%–58.5% CI
Draw FT36.5%26.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT16.2%9.5%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.9%
Away39.2%