Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.2377.8%
X7.0413.6%
211.108.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
WWLLDDWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sheffield United
LDLLWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.80
Against
9.20
10.40
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
4.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
2.50goals per matchSheffield United conceded2.10Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.10goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
9.20
10.40
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.80
Match total
19.10
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.40
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%63.0%-14.7 pp
Draw13.6%19.6%+6.0 pp
Away8.6%17.4%+8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.543.5%
BTTS65.2%
Historical average
2.57–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.4%
1-28.7%
3-06.5%
5-06.5%
1-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.02–3.30
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away70.0%