Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.2377.8%
X7.0413.6%
211.108.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWLLDDWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sheffield United
LDLLWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.80
Against
9.20
10.40
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
4.10
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.50goals per match
Sheffield United conceded2.10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
9.20
10.40
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.40
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%63.0%-14.7 pp
Draw13.6%19.6%+6.0 pp
Away8.6%17.4%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.543.5%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

2.571.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.4%
1-28.7%
3-06.5%
5-06.5%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.023.30
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away70.0%