Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.5262.9%
X4.9019.5%
25.4417.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWLWDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Burnley
DWLLLLDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
7.00
Against
8.10
14.90
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.50goals per match
Man United conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
7.00
Corners against
8.10
14.90
Match total
11.40
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
18.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.50
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%70.6%+7.7 pp
Draw19.5%11.8%-7.7 pp
Away17.6%17.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.570.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

3.351.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

6-017.6%
4-211.8%
2-35.9%
5-25.9%
4-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.88
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.547.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away50.0%