Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:30
15.6317.0%
X4.8919.6%
21.5163.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WWDDLWDDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Liverpool
WWWWLWWDWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
7.60N=10
5.10
Against
3.70
9.50
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.10goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.70
9.50
Match total
11.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.60
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
3.80
On target
5.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%21.4%+4.4 pp
Draw19.6%21.4%+1.8 pp
Away63.4%57.1%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.557.1%
BTTS78.6%

Historical average

1.432.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-314.3%
2-314.3%
1-17.1%
1-27.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.00
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away78.6%