Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
11.3173.0%
X6.1115.7%
28.4411.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LWWLWDWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sheffield United
LLDLLWLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
7.80
Against
8.90
15.50
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.60goals per match
Sheffield United conceded2.20
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
7.80
Corners against
8.90
15.50
Match total
11.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
18.20
Match total
19.60

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.0%60.0%-13.0 pp
Draw15.7%22.9%+7.2 pp
Away11.3%17.1%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.401.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.4%
4-011.4%
0-08.6%
2-28.6%
1-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.43
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away38.9%