Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
17.1113.5%
X4.9819.2%
21.4267.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
LWWLDDDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Liverpool
DWWWWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.20
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.90
Against
4.20
10.10
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.30goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.90Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.20goals per matchEverton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.20
10.10
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
21.40
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
4.80
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.5%15.6%+2.1 pp
Draw19.2%13.3%-5.9 pp
Away67.3%71.1%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
0.84–2.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-313.3%
1-212.2%
0-111.1%
0-310.0%
0-28.9%
Comparable corner averages
3.31–6.49
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away75.0%