Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
17.1113.5%
X4.9819.2%
21.4267.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWWLDDDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Liverpool
DWWWWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.20
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.90
Against
4.20
10.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.20goals per match
Everton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.20
10.10
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
21.40

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
4.80
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.5%15.6%+2.1 pp
Draw19.2%13.3%-5.9 pp
Away67.3%71.1%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

0.842.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-313.3%
1-212.2%
0-111.1%
0-310.0%
0-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.316.49
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%