Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-24 · 20:00
12.7634.7%
X3.6826.0%
22.4339.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LLDWWLWDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Newcastle
LLLLLWWLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
2.40
3.80
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

2.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.40
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
24.10
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%41.2%+6.6 pp
Draw26.0%21.1%-4.9 pp
Away39.4%37.7%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.543.0%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

1.651.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.6%
2-18.8%
1-38.8%
2-07.9%
2-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.485.11
Average total10.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.564.9%
Over 10.551.8%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away50.0%