Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 16:30
15.1918.5%
X4.6720.5%
21.5761.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
WWLWDWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Liverpool
DDWWWWLWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
7.20N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
11.70
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

2.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.00goals per match
Fulham conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
11.70
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
5.50
On target
5.40
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.5%19.0%+0.6 pp
Draw20.5%9.5%-11.0 pp
Away61.0%71.4%+10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.561.9%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.292.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-314.3%
1-414.3%
0-39.5%
0-19.5%
2-49.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.10
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.6%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%