Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:00
12.1544.6%
X3.5926.7%
23.3428.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
LLLDWWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
West Ham
WWLWDLLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.60
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.70goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.00Matchup
West Ham attack
1.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
25.00
Match total
19.00
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches481
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%44.3%-0.3 pp
Draw26.7%29.3%+2.6 pp
Away28.7%26.4%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS55.5%
Historical average
1.52–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-110.2%
1-09.8%
0-07.7%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.32
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=481.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.8%30.4%–45.9% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.3%–47.9% CI
Away FT22.3%16.3%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals19.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.4%
Away46.6%