Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:00
11.8751.2%
X4.1123.3%
23.7625.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWDWLLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bournemouth
WWWWLDLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.70
10.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.70goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.70
10.50
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%57.9%+6.7 pp
Draw23.3%15.8%-7.5 pp
Away25.5%26.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.841.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.8%
3-210.5%
0-110.5%
3-05.3%
2-25.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.63
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away50.0%