Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 13:30
12.0746.3%
X3.5227.2%
23.6326.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
DLWWLDDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLDWLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
2.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
7.70
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.20goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.30
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.30goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.70
9.70
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%47.1%+0.8 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.5 pp
Away26.4%24.2%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.571.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-09.7%
0-09.0%
2-08.4%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.41
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%25.2%–43.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.2%–55.2% CI
Away FT20.8%14.0%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.4%
Away47.5%