Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 13:30
12.0746.3%
X3.5227.2%
23.6326.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
DLWWLDDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLDWLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.70
1H goals
2.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
7.70
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.20goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.30Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.30goals per matchEverton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.70
9.70
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.40
Match total
23.50
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%47.1%+0.8 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.5 pp
Away26.4%24.2%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.57–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-09.7%
0-09.0%
2-08.4%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.41
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%25.2%–43.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.2%–55.2% CI
Away FT20.8%14.0%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.4%
Away47.5%