Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 19:30
18.0511.9%
X5.0519.0%
21.3969.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
WWDWWLLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Arsenal
WLDLWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.50
Against
3.80
10.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.80goals per match
Wolves conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.80
10.40
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.30
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
4.80
On target
6.00
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.9%10.7%-1.2 pp
Draw19.0%16.7%-2.3 pp
Away69.1%72.6%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

0.802.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
1-214.3%
0-19.5%
0-38.3%
1-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.446.85
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away78.3%