Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
12.7634.7%
X3.6326.4%
22.4738.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield United
LLWLDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Burnley
LDWLLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
3.10
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
7.00
Against
7.60
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
3.10
Goals conceded
1.90
4.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Sheffield United conceded3.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
7.00
Corners against
7.60
10.90
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
19.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%38.7%+3.9 pp
Draw26.4%27.1%+0.7 pp
Away38.8%34.2%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.491.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.6%
1-09.0%
2-18.5%
2-27.5%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.445.23
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.551.8%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.6%30.3%–55.8% CI
Draw FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI
Away FT20.4%11.8%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away42.6%