Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
13.1830.2%
X3.7525.6%
22.1744.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LLWLWLLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Brentford
LLLLWLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.60
Against
6.60
11.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
2.10
3.70
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.80goals per match
Brentford conceded2.10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.60
11.70
Match total
10.30
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.30
Match total
22.50

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%31.3%+1.1 pp
Draw25.6%27.3%+1.8 pp
Away44.2%41.4%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS71.1%

Historical average

1.591.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-29.4%
2-29.4%
1-28.6%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.64
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI
Draw FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI
Away FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.5%
2+ goals77.4%
3+ goals22.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.7%
Away64.5%