Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-15 · 20:00
11.7156.0%
X4.2022.8%
24.5321.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LDWWWWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Everton
WWLLDLDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
7.60
10.60
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
4.30
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.30goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Matchup

Everton attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.60
10.60
Match total
12.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
3.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.40
Match total
22.40

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.60
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%58.2%+2.2 pp
Draw22.8%22.4%-0.4 pp
Away21.2%19.4%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.541.8%
BTTS63.4%

Historical average

1.961.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.4%
1-113.4%
2-09.0%
1-07.5%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.144.31
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away57.1%