Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 14:00
11.2179.7%
X7.3713.1%
213.357.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WDDWWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Crystal Palace
LDDLLLDLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.90
Against
5.20
11.30
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.80
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded2.20
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.20
11.30
Match total
8.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.90
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.30
Match total
23.90

Shots

26.70N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
9.70
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%78.8%-0.9 pp
Draw13.1%11.3%-1.8 pp
Away7.2%10.0%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

2.750.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.8%
2-112.5%
3-08.8%
1-07.5%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.102.98
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away47.4%