Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:30
12.4239.7%
X3.9124.5%
22.6835.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WDWLDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
LDLLWWWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
9.00
13.20
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.80
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
9.00
13.20
Match total
13.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.60
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.00
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%46.2%+6.5 pp
Draw24.5%0.0%-24.5 pp
Away35.8%53.8%+18.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.691.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-115.4%
0-215.4%
4-27.7%
0-17.7%
0-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.855.77
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

3.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals100.0%
3+ goals60.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away90.0%