Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:30
12.4239.7%
X3.9124.5%
22.6835.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
WDWLDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
LDLLWWWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
9.00
13.20
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.70goals per matchMan United conceded1.80Matchup
Man United attack
1.40goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
9.00
13.20
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.60
Match total
21.00
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.00
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%46.2%+6.5 pp
Draw24.5%0.0%-24.5 pp
Away35.8%53.8%+18.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
1.69–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-115.4%
0-215.4%
4-27.7%
0-17.7%
0-47.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.85–5.77
Average total10.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.546.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Remaining goals
3.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals100.0%
3+ goals60.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away90.0%