Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
13.5027.4%
X3.8025.2%
22.0247.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LWLLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brighton
LLDDLLWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.20goals per match
Brighton conceded1.70
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.30
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.30
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%30.9%+3.5 pp
Draw25.2%21.3%-3.9 pp
Away47.4%47.8%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

1.291.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-08.8%
1-28.8%
2-17.4%
0-37.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.34
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Draw FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Away FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.2%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away64.7%