Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 12:30
12.7535.0%
X4.0223.9%
22.3441.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWWLLDDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Tottenham
WLDWLDDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
2.50
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
8.10
9.10
Total
13.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
4.20
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.50goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.80
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.10
9.10
Match total
13.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.40
Match total
24.50

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.40
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%21.7%-13.2 pp
Draw23.9%21.7%-2.2 pp
Away41.1%56.5%+15.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.587.0%
Over 3.573.9%
BTTS95.7%

Historical average

1.912.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-317.4%
2-313.0%
2-213.0%
1-18.7%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.22
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals100.0%
3+ goals60.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away100.0%