Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 18:00
11.4068.6%
X5.3018.1%
27.2313.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
LLWWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLLDWLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.30
100%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.40
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
7.30
11.90
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.60
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
2.20goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.30Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.20goals per matchTottenham conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.30
11.90
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.90
Match total
23.40
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%86.4%+17.8 pp
Draw18.1%13.6%-4.5 pp
Away13.3%0.0%-13.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
2.77–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.6%
2-013.6%
3-113.6%
1-09.1%
4-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.45
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.522.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%52.9%–84.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals67.9%
3+ goals32.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away35.7%