Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 18:00
11.4068.6%
X5.3018.1%
27.2313.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LLWWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLLDWLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.30
100%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.40
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
7.30
11.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.60
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.20goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.30
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.30
11.90
Match total
10.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%86.4%+17.8 pp
Draw18.1%13.6%-4.5 pp
Away13.3%0.0%-13.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.770.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
2-013.6%
3-113.6%
1-09.1%
4-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.45
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%52.9%–84.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals67.9%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away35.7%