Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:30
16.8813.9%
X5.2818.1%
21.4167.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield United
WLLWLDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
WLLLLWLWDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
3.00
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.80
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
3.00
Goals conceded
2.10
4.10
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded2.10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.70goals per match
Sheffield United conceded3.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
1.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
19.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.10
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%8.0%-5.9 pp
Draw18.1%28.0%+9.9 pp
Away67.9%64.0%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

0.761.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
1-216.0%
0-212.0%
0-18.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.486.12
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away85.7%