Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:30
16.8813.9%
X5.2818.1%
21.4167.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sheffield United
WLLWLDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
WLLLLWLWDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
3.00
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.80
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
3.00
Goals conceded
2.10
4.10
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.10goals per matchChelsea conceded2.10Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.70goals per matchSheffield United conceded3.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
1.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
19.40
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.10
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%8.0%-5.9 pp
Draw18.1%28.0%+9.9 pp
Away67.9%64.0%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
0.76–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.0%
1-216.0%
0-212.0%
0-18.0%
1-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.48–6.12
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals35.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away85.7%