Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 15:30
14.6920.5%
X4.6520.6%
21.6358.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WLWWLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Liverpool
DDDWWWWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
6.20N=10
7.20
Against
4.70
15.00
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.00goals per match
Man United conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
7.20
Corners against
4.70
15.00
Match total
10.90
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
19.00
Match total
23.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
5.80
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%21.4%+1.0 pp
Draw20.6%21.4%+0.8 pp
Away58.9%57.1%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.142.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-121.4%
2-114.3%
2-214.3%
0-314.3%
2-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.715.79
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%