Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.6826.1%
X4.0423.7%
21.9150.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLLWLWLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Bournemouth
LWWWWLDLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
1.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
11.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.70
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.80goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.80
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
11.70
Match total
11.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.90
Match total
22.00

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.60
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%16.7%-9.4 pp
Draw23.7%31.3%+7.5 pp
Away50.2%52.1%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.252.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-212.5%
2-310.4%
0-38.3%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.65
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away33.3%