Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
12.3740.6%
X3.8225.2%
22.8134.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
WWWLWDWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Newcastle
DLLLLLWWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
2.60
80%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
10.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.60
3.30
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

2.50goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.60
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.40goals per match
Fulham conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
10.80
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.40
Match total
21.80

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%33.3%-7.3 pp
Draw25.2%27.3%+2.1 pp
Away34.2%39.4%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS75.8%

Historical average

1.761.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-312.1%
1-212.1%
0-29.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.15
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away50.0%