Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.6757.4%
X4.0723.6%
25.0419.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WDLWWLDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Burnley
LLDWLLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
7.60
10.40
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded2.10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.60
10.40
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.90
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.30
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches296
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%60.8%+3.4 pp
Draw23.6%19.9%-3.6 pp
Away19.0%19.3%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.860.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
1-011.5%
2-010.1%
3-09.1%
1-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.95
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=296.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.6%41.6%–61.5% CI
Draw FT25.8%18.0%–35.5% CI
Away FT22.6%15.3%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.9%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away41.9%