Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.7056.6%
X4.2022.9%
24.6820.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWWDWLLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Brentford
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.30
Against
6.10
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.70goals per match
Brentford conceded2.10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.10
9.50
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.6%56.6%+0.1 pp
Draw22.9%26.5%+3.6 pp
Away20.5%16.9%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.541.0%
BTTS66.3%

Historical average

1.981.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
2-112.0%
1-08.4%
2-08.4%
3-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.424.47
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.548.2%
Over 11.541.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away43.8%