Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 12:30
110.309.3%
X5.5917.2%
21.3173.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LLLLDWWLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
LWDLWWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.60goals per match
Man City conceded1.20
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
12.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
7.70N=10
26.40
Match total
17.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.10
On target
7.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.3%6.0%-3.3 pp
Draw17.2%12.0%-5.2 pp
Away73.4%81.9%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

0.602.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.1%
0-113.3%
0-313.3%
1-29.6%
1-39.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.496.78
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.4%
Away70.6%