Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-04 · 20:15
12.0247.4%
X4.0523.6%
23.3128.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DLDWWWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
WLDLLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
8.40
10.00
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
4.00
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Man United conceded1.40
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
8.40
10.00
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.30
Match total
20.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
6.10
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%42.9%-4.6 pp
Draw23.6%14.3%-9.4 pp
Away28.9%42.9%+13.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.291.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
2-014.3%
1-114.3%
2-114.3%
0-114.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.93
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%