Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-04 · 19:30
11.0888.6%
X12.597.6%
225.433.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWDDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Sheffield United
LDLLDLLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Against
8.50
11.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.70
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Sheffield United conceded2.30
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
8.50
11.30
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.60
Match total
21.30

Shots

25.50N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
9.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.6%90.5%+1.8 pp
Draw7.6%4.8%-2.8 pp
Away3.8%4.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.561.9%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

4.240.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-014.3%
2-09.5%
8-09.5%
1-09.5%
6-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.192.24
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away23.1%