Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 19:30
12.3940.2%
X3.7925.3%
22.7834.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WLWLLWLLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Brighton
WLLDDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
2.20
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
2.40
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.30
Against
5.70
11.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.90
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.30goals per match
Brentford conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.70
11.90
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.60
Match total
21.40

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.40
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%41.2%+1.0 pp
Draw25.3%17.6%-7.7 pp
Away34.5%41.2%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.501.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.7%
0-18.8%
3-18.8%
3-25.9%
2-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.21
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.561.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away53.8%