Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:45
12.5338.0%
X3.4927.6%
22.8034.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LLWLLDDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Wolves
LLLLWDWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
10.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Wolves conceded1.90
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
10.40
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.20
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches382
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%38.2%+0.2 pp
Draw27.6%27.0%-0.6 pp
Away34.4%34.8%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.361.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
2-19.9%
1-29.4%
1-08.6%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.71
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=382.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%27.8%–46.9% CI
Draw FT34.7%25.9%–44.7% CI
Away FT28.4%20.3%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals49.5%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away54.7%