Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:45
12.5338.0%
X3.4927.6%
22.8034.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
LLWLLDDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Wolves
LLLLWDWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
10.40
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.10goals per matchWolves conceded1.90Matchup
Wolves attack
1.40goals per matchBurnley conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
10.40
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.20
Match total
23.40
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches382
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%38.2%+0.2 pp
Draw27.6%27.0%-0.6 pp
Away34.4%34.8%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.36–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
2-19.9%
1-29.4%
1-08.6%
2-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.29–4.71
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=382.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%27.8%–46.9% CI
Draw FT34.7%25.9%–44.7% CI
Away FT28.4%20.3%–38.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals49.5%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.1%
Away54.7%