Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:30
12.7135.6%
X3.4927.6%
22.6236.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LLLLWLLWLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Fulham
DLLLLLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.80
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.90
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.20goals per matchFulham conceded2.30Matchup
Fulham attack
1.30goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.00
Match total
19.10
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.60
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%34.6%-1.0 pp
Draw27.6%27.4%-0.3 pp
Away36.8%38.1%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS59.5%
Historical average
1.36–1.44
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
2-19.0%
0-18.8%
1-28.3%
1-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–5.01
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%23.7%–39.8% CI
Draw FT35.2%27.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT33.6%25.9%–42.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals21.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away56.0%