Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:30
12.7135.6%
X3.4927.6%
22.6236.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LLLLWLLWLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Fulham
DLLLLLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.80
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.90
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.20goals per match
Fulham conceded2.30
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.30goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.00
Match total
19.10

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.60
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%34.6%-1.0 pp
Draw27.6%27.4%-0.3 pp
Away36.8%38.1%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.361.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-19.0%
0-18.8%
1-28.3%
1-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.01
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%23.7%–39.8% CI
Draw FT35.2%27.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT33.6%25.9%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away56.0%