Premier League · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 19:30
12.0147.8%
X3.8225.1%
23.5527.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWWWLLDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Everton
WWWLLDLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
2.50
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
7.80
9.20
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
4.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Matchup

Everton attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.80
9.20
Match total
12.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.40
Match total
22.80

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.00
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%48.0%+0.3 pp
Draw25.1%27.0%+1.8 pp
Away27.1%25.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.591.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
2-010.5%
1-010.2%
2-17.8%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.38
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%30.4%–52.0% CI
Draw FT38.2%28.1%–49.4% CI
Away FT21.1%13.4%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away43.4%