Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 16:30
11.9249.9%
X3.8025.2%
23.8624.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WDDDWWWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Arsenal
LWWLDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

10.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
2.50
Against
2.40
12.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.40
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
10.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
2.50
Corners against
2.40
12.70
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
18.20
Match total
21.00

Shots

20.80N=10
Shots
17.20N=10
6.10
On target
5.60
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches398
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%53.5%+3.6 pp
Draw25.2%24.9%-0.4 pp
Away24.8%21.6%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.741.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.6%
2-110.1%
2-09.8%
1-26.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.764.50
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.533.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.8%33.0%–51.2% CI
Draw FT39.1%30.5%–48.4% CI
Away FT19.1%12.8%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.5%
Away42.7%