Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 14:00
11.3770.0%
X5.6317.0%
27.3713.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Brighton
DWLLDDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.20
11.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.70
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.80
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.30goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.20
11.20
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
24.20
Match total
20.80

Shots

24.60N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
9.80
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%78.8%+8.8 pp
Draw17.0%9.1%-7.9 pp
Away13.0%12.1%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.548.5%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

2.451.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-118.2%
2-115.2%
2-012.1%
1-26.1%
3-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.52
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away26.7%