Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 20:00
13.0631.3%
X3.8325.0%
22.2043.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWLWLLWLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Man United
WWLDLLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
2.10
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.40
Against
7.90
11.10
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.80goals per match
Man United conceded1.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Brentford conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.90
11.10
Match total
12.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.10
Match total
20.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.90
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%27.0%-4.4 pp
Draw25.0%37.1%+12.0 pp
Away43.6%36.0%-7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS74.2%

Historical average

1.471.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.2%
2-210.1%
2-110.1%
1-29.0%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.49
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.558.4%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away63.2%