Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 17:30
11.6458.4%
X4.3821.9%
24.8619.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWWWDWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Wolves
WLLLLWDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.80goals per match
Wolves conceded1.80
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.60
On target
4.70
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.4%66.0%+7.6 pp
Draw21.9%17.0%-4.9 pp
Away19.7%17.0%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

2.391.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.3%
2-09.4%
1-19.4%
3-17.5%
4-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.92
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%