Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
11.2278.7%
X7.4712.8%
211.318.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LLLWWWWWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Luton
DLLLWDDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
2.50
100%
Over 2.5
70%
100%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.50
2H goals
3.00
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
7.90
11.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.50
3.80
Total goals
4.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.10goals per match
Luton conceded2.50
Matchup

Luton attack

1.70goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
2.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.90
11.70
Match total
12.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
25.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
6.50
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.7%61.1%-17.6 pp
Draw12.8%22.2%+9.4 pp
Away8.5%16.7%+8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.671.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
1-116.7%
5-011.1%
0-111.1%
4-011.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.723.61
Average total11.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.561.1%
Over 11.555.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away53.8%