Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
12.2642.5%
X3.3628.6%
23.3129.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
WLLLLWLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWLDDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.20
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.40
2.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.30goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded2.40Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.00goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
20.90
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.40
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%42.6%+0.2 pp
Draw28.6%30.1%+1.6 pp
Away29.0%27.2%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.41–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-011.3%
2-110.0%
0-08.3%
2-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.41
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,135.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches354
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.4%31.6%–41.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%33.2%–43.3% CI
Away FT25.4%21.2%–30.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away41.8%