Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
12.2642.5%
X3.3628.6%
23.3129.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WLLLLWLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWLDDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.20
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.40
2.90
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.30goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded2.40
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
20.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.40
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%42.6%+0.2 pp
Draw28.6%30.1%+1.6 pp
Away29.0%27.2%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.411.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-011.3%
2-110.0%
0-08.3%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.41
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches354
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.4%31.6%–41.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%33.2%–43.3% CI
Away FT25.4%21.2%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away41.8%